Why Facebook Might Be Gone By 2020?
It’s obvious that Facebook and Google are striving for world domination. But when looking at the web’s history, both might be gone before 2020…
And by gone I don’t mean bankrupt gone. But MySpace gone. Sure, Facebook might be around forever, but with the movers and shakers of the last 2 decades in the web space, some of you might share very good reasons why Facebook might be passe by 2020…
The Facebook IPO clearly did not bring the blue monster that magic 100+ Billion. And Gen-Y AKA Millennials might love Facebook now. But a next generation might embrace new, not born players yet, in the future.
Gen-Y are screenagers, addicted to web and mobile screens. The new generation to follow, might have a very different view of the world and could just skip the web almost completely, doing 80-90% of their online lives on a mobile or tablet.
Just take a look at the APAC region and the number of powerful players that grow faster than ever due to mobile phones addicts…
Gen-X might call the mobile handset the second screen now, but for new generations (Gen-Y and next) the mobile handset will be the central gateway to brands, communities, content and commerce.
And here is my Facebook worry: mobile.
How long it took Facebook to dominate mobile is as slow as Google adapted to social. And buying Instagram, will that make Facebook a company with mobile DNA? I doubt that.
So is it possible that Facebook and Google could be MySpace gone before 2020? I’d like to read your thoughts in the comments below.
If you are younger than me – and I sincerely hope you are not yet a grumpy old man too – please look at below overview before giving us your thoughts..
Web 1.0 companies founded from 1994 – 2001: Excite, AltaVista, Lycos, Netscape, Yahoo!, AOL, Google, Amazon and eBay.
Web 2.0 or social companies founded from 2002 – 2011: MySpace, Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter, Groupon, Delicious, Digg, Pinterest etc
Those about to die salute you?
Web 3.0 or mobile companies: Those who will own the future might be the ones who create it…?